With the latest string of terrorist attacks in disturbed area of Kashmir, India and Pakistan are on the verge of starting another war that could probably culminate into a nuclear WW3. Both the nations already have fought three wars in 20th century alone and a fourth seems pretty much on the way.
On September 18th, Pakistan backed militants attacked a military base in Uri in Indian-administered Kashmir. It was the one of the deadliest attack on security forces in years. It comes months after Pakistan-backed unrest in Kashmir following the killing of a well-known Hizb-ul-Mujahideen terrorist commander, Burhan Wani, by Indian security forces.
Tensions between the South Asian neighbours have escalated since. Indians politicians called for an all-out war against Pakistan?s continued sponsor of terror. Last year another deadly attack occurred in border area of Gurdaspur, Punjab, where terrorists attacked a Police Station.
The top leaders of the ruling party Bharatiya Janta Party(BJP) called for retaliation against the terrorist state.
?Pakistan is a terrorist state and it should be identified and isolated as such,? tweeted Rajnath Singh, India’s home minister.
BJP?s Secretary General Ram Madhav took to Facebook to suggest disproportionate retaliation: ?For one tooth, the complete jaw.?
Indus Water Treaty
Even with the latest war of words, things seem to going pretty serious as Indians favored to scrap Indus water treaty. The treaty signed September 19, 1960, between India and Pakistan, has survived three wars. However, India is giving strong indications to end this pact as part of their anti-Pakistan stance.
Under the treaty of six rivers, India is entitled to the three eastern rivers of Ravi, Beas, Sutlej.?The three western rivers of Indus, Jhelum, Chenab and their tributaries have been allocated to Pakistan. New Delhi is under obligation to let the waters of the western rivers flow, except for certain consumptive use, with Pakistan getting 80% of the water.
Indus water treaty gives the lower riparian Pakistan more ?than four times? of the water available to India. Should India try to block the water to Pakistan, a war between the two seems inevitable. With India and Pakistan with large armies and possession of weapons of mass destruction a WW3 could be likely outcome.
The India-Pak war may ultimately end up involving the major world powers of U.S., China and Russia. With China favoring Pakistan, United States may likely to side with Indians as despite their aid, Pak continues to sponsor terror. Afghanistan too will side with India as the country blames Pak for the Taliban insurgency. Russia?s stance could be measured as it may not likely go with U.S. interests. However, relations between India and Russia have been great for years. With so many international world powers involved in the conflict it is likely a WW3 may start.